USD/INR: Indian Rupee Trying to Recapture Bearish Momentum

Indian sugar industry’s major player Nirani Group projects going forward as a bio-energy company with sugar a by-product

Indian sugar industry’s major player Nirani Group is looking to evolve beyond the traditional sugar business model and expand further as it targets new long-term supply deals for the ethanol, leaving sugar as a by product. The company's Managing Director - Mr. Vijay Nirani told ChiniMandi News in an interview.
Speaking on his assessment on the sugar season in terms of sugar production, exports and profitability he said, “With a very good monsoon this year, Karnataka is set to see a record breaking crushing season this year. The district of Bagalkot itself has forecasted a crushing of 14 million Mt, which is the highest ever. This year is an opportunity to crush with high efficiency and try and make it even with the preceding 3 bad seasons where we had to face huge natural calamities like droughts and flash floods. The high crushing that is forecasted is not all merry, as there will be a huge gap between demand and supply as there is going to excess production of sugar, it is going to be a challenge in itself this year to get a good realisation for sugar.
With speculations from the Government of India, that they may not consider giving subsidy for exports, it will only multiply the challenges in hand. Though mills in the state and the country have a great chance to make up for the accumulated losses in the past, with good availability of quality cane, the millers are all set to exhibit their talents by ensuring high efficiency crushing with maximum value additions, the true crux of profitability lies with the sugar market dynamics, the Govt. has to ensure proper regulation to make sure the mills get a fair share in order to ensure timely and proper payments to farmers who are already in great distress due to continued draught, flash floods and now the spread of this deadly pandemic of COVID-19.
On being asked how he sees the prices of sugar in Karnataka State considering the aftermath of Covid-19 and no announcement of hike in MSP Nirani said, “It is definitely going to be a great challenge to get a proper realisation for sugar though there is an Minimum Selling Price (MSP), if we look at the pretext of MSP being set at ₹3100 is itself not a thorough price, in order to bridge the cost gap between FRP to MSP the MSP has to be revised to ₹3500. Since sugar being an essential commodity there is not going to be a huge drop in consumption by any means at the same time we know there is already carried forward stock from the last season and the production this year is going to be massive by all measures and the consumption of sugar is not going to increase all of a sudden. This is definitely going to directly impact the price, the symptoms have already begun, the rates are already in a downward trajectory.”
Sharing views about the growth prospect in Karnataka state for the sugar industry he shared, “It is definitely going to be value addition and ensuring zero wastage, we need to ensure there is a proper backward and a forward integration for all the mass that is being generated or put into use in the mills.”
“The major advantages that the sugar industries have are yet untapped by many, with just sugar cane as a raw material, we can generate - Sugar, jaggery powder, jaggery cakes, sugar syrup, icing sugar, Electricity, Pulp from Bagasse, furniture from bagasse, biodegradable products from bagasse, CNG and Bio gases, bio fuels, chemicals, ENA, Ethanol the list goes on. The key to sustain is to add value to every product, rather create products of value and not just depend on sugar as a product.” He further added.
Over the couple of years, Nirani Group has been widening its wings in the business of sugar, answering whether there are any further plans on expansion in capacity and beyond Karnataka Nirani said, “We started off about 2 decades ago as the smallest industry in the country with a crushing capacity of 500 mT per day, but now stand tall with a consolidated crushing capacity of 60,000mT with 230 MW of Co-Generation and with allied integration spread across 6 mills. We have understood the weight that the sector carries and envision the thousands of lives that each of our mills have an effect on. We have been turning around sick units in the state, like Kedarnath Sugars and Agro, Badami Sugars Ltd, Pandavapura SSk, Sreerama Sugars SSK, SPR sugars, these were all closed/distressed units that we took over and are being run professionally and successfully, directly helping out all the families that were associated with those mills by means of employment, by crushing farmers cane in time, by creating many unorganised businesses around the campuses and creating revenue for the state and the country.
Coming towards, how we at Nirani Group are taking measures to step up for the Ethanol Blending Programme (EBP); our chairman Shri Murugesh R Nirani ji was one of the pioneers of this EBP programme, he being a close associate in the govt and decision making, had key impact in developing of this scheme. As a group we already have a production capacity of 650 KLPD and are in an advanced stage of expanding the capacities to over 1000 KLPD by December of 2021.
The EBP program has truly been a blessing not just for the health of the sugar industry but also achieves major goals like, reducing crude imports, directly benefiting our FOREX and addressing major ecological crises.
We were one of the first in the state to divert sugarcane juice to Ethanol, during the previous crushing season 19-20, we have produced close to 16 Million litres of Ethanol from Sugarcane juice/Syrup.
Going forward also we have all the plans to divert maximum of sugar into producing Ethanol we estimate a production of close to 96 Million liters of Ethanol purely from Sugarcane juice/syrup, the decision to allow Sugar cane juice/Syrup/B-heavy molasses for Ethanol and giving attractive incentives have been a landmark policy in the country for Sugar Sector.
On being asked, what long term policies should be announced by the Govt. for the sugar industry to develop he said, “The Govt. should first eliminate the EBP hinges, like allowing for OMCs to enter into a 5 year supply contract and bringing in 2nd round of Interest subvention scheme, the GOI has already addressed a big crux, the enhancement of rate for ethanol by 3 odd rupees is an icing on the cake.
The key policy that is thoroughly in need is the revision in MSP to ₹3500 at least, this is no way going to burden the average consumer as shelling out ₹3 to 5 more on sugar is not a huge impact for them, as compared to the benefits that this decision would bring, timely and prompt payments to farmers and sustainability of the mills.
“Also to address the challenge of excess supply of sugar in the country the GOI usually gives export subsidy, which is usually released after a lot of scrutiny and delays, instead they should allow for this excess sugar to be diverted to ethanol so that the cash cycle is quicker and we address the demand that is there for ethanol. This diversion of excess sugar to Ethanol can be considered as deemed export and the same benefit can be given to the sugar mills that adopt this mechanism.
To address the issue of excess production the GOI should increase the radial distance between the plants from the existing 15 Kms to atlest 35 Kms.” Nirani added.
https://storage.googleapis.com/stateless-chinimandi-com/2020/11/8b27b37c-indian-sugar-industry’s.dom\_.eng\_.02.11.2020.08.58.mp3
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How the fall in Rupee Exchange Value Impacts Your Investments?

How the fall in Rupee Exchange Value Impacts Your Investments?
The world is the most unpredictable place. Especially with a continuous change in motion, the position of any country can’t be counted as the stable position. Talking about the development process of any of any country is totally dependent on the development of the currency of its country, how the country is actually growing in different aspects with different growth factors taking place.
For instance, the growth of health conditions in the country how poor or good they are, the quality of education in the country, the rate of employment or moreover the poverty line of the country. All this depends on the value of the currency the country has, the better the currency, the better the country is.
Talking about Rupee, the situation since 1945 till now is never a stabilised one. The rupee has only tangoed all this while, deliberations on the amount of debts have just grown intensely. However, when it comes to the growth of Rupee, you’ll find nothing. Although, the past few months have been ever growing for the Rupee, one can’t ignore the fact that the fluctuations were terribly high and still are.
Thus, when the condition of the rupee is itself in a concoction, how can one expect to have a constant growth in another domain or field. Another reason one can find is the constant fluctuations in the Euro Exchange rate for the global markets that have their business standards quite trembling too. The impact of this tremble is quite visibly witnessed by many.
As known the Indian Rupee depends on the USD for its trade growth and economy development, not to forget the constant fluctuations in the Crude Prices and the Hiking highest of the Brent shows a constant change and no possible stability due to the Waiver take off by the US due to Trump’s decision can largely impact the world.
Imagine if Indian Rupee has touched an all-time low, one’s immediate reaction is to worry about the inflation and the negative impact on the finances. Stock markets have reacted negatively as foreign investors are pulling money out of emerging markets including India.

https://preview.redd.it/6dzmji4ibmy21.jpg?width=500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a0fc0a0f904a9f35e43659c36a967444be7bc2ff
The investments will be depleted on the condition that all this will be gorged in a different shape. No high value of Rupee will result in no returns for your investments because the value of the rupee has changed totally.
As an investor, an important skill is to have an ability to connect the dots. This applies to your personal finances too. Being aware of the implication of economic developments on investments can not only help save money but also seize opportunities.
The investment of an investor depends a lot more on the fundamentals of a country and the movement of the country’s currency based on its fundamentals. While looking at our fundamentals we stand tall over them as one can see that there is no rise in the overall debt (excluding the corporate debt & NPAs.)
For instance, the daily forecast that is published on BookMyForex for every currency can help you in taking your decision in a better way. Here’s today forecast for your reference:
22 April 2019: The rupee had opened with a positive gap at 69.46 regaining through the day touching a high of 69.6175 in the afternoon. However, the strong dollar sales in the last 30 minutes allowed the rupee to later close at 69.34. The rising crude prices confuse the rupee’s recovery. Brent broke above $74.00 mark today amidst the speculations coming from the US that Trump is to discontinue the waivers on buying Iranian Oil. Situations are tough for any forecast on Rupee as there will be no political and economic decisions taken to combat the crude price hike until the election results are out by May 23rd.
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USD INR Forecast  Moody Outlook USD INR Forecast  Trade War  GDP USD-INR forecast  Assembly Elections 2019 Results. USD to INR Forecast  Foreign Exchange Forecast I Factors affecting Indian Rupee USD INR Analysis - US Dollar Indian Rupee Forex Analysis ... INR V/s USD in 2020: How Will Your Trades Be Affected? USD/INR Forecast June 18, 2020

Pound to Indian Rupee (GBP/INR) Exchange Rate Forecast to Trend within Narrow Range as Crude Holds above $60, RBI Flirts with Rate Cut. 24 Jun 2015 at 5 PM - Written by John Cameron. STORY LINK Pound to Indian Rupee (GBP/INR) Exchange Rate Forecast to Trend within Narrow Range as Crude Holds above $60, RBI Flirts with Rate Cut GBP/USD Forecast; USD/JPY Forecast; AUD/USD Forecast; USD/CAD Forecast ; Live Calendar; Subscribe; You are at: Home » FXStreet News » USD/INR Price News: Indian rupee clings to 100-HMA, with rising channel in play. USD/INR Price News: Indian rupee clings to 100-HMA, with rising channel in play 0. By FX Street Published: Nov 3, 2020 09:57 GMT Last Modified: Nov 3, 2020 10:57 GMT FXStreet ... Forex / INR. 1 INR exchange rate Nov, 2020 - 1 Indian Rupee conversion The Indian rupee (sign: ₹; code: INR), is the official currency of the Republic of India. The rupee is subdivided into 100 paise (singular paisa), though as of 2011, 25 paise is no more a legal tender. The issuance of the currency is controlled by the Reserve Bank of India. The Reserve Bank manages currency in India and ... The rupee is forecast to gain nearly 2% to trade at 69.60 per dollar in a year from Monday’s low of 70.82. That marks the most optimistic 12-month outlook for the currency since August 2018 but ... Fortunately, there also seems to be technical evidence that resistance levels have incrementally begun to lower. The past five days of trading are encouraging signalsl for traders who want to try to pursue their bearish sentiment with the USD/INR, as it attempts to recapture the Indian rupee’s lost value since the beginning of September. The USD/INR hit the 75.000 level yesterday as the forex pair was hit with strong volatility and global risk sentiment became extremely nervous. However, after hitting the high water marks, the Indian rupee began to see a sustained reversal downwards. The USD/INR is still within the upper boundaries of its mid-term range and speculators may ... Indian rupee is up around 3% against the US dollar (in August) since its low of 77 versus the greenback in April and is gaining favour from bank commentators such as HSBC due to the attraction of the carry trade – the ability to earn higher interest when holding INR versus other major currencies.

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USD INR Forecast Moody Outlook

Best FX Trading Strategies (THE Top Strategy for Forex Trading) - Duration: 32:00. ... The Year 2020 - Indian Rupee Forecast ( Hindi Version ) - Duration: 17:16. Foreign Exchange Maverick Thinkers ... USD INR Forecast: As Moody Outlook downgrade continued to hit the rupee, it opened this week on a negative note. Weakened domestic economic fundamentals and US-China trade agreement are just some ... USD INR Forecast: As the trade war between China and USA intensifies, the drop in the Yuan continues to impact the Indian Rupee. The Finance Ministries' announcement about the reform to support ... USD /Indian Rupee Forex Analysis – USD/ INR Forex Price Forecast With Technical Analysis - USDINR - Duration: 3:12. Giacomo Mauriello 24 views. New; 3:12. EUR/USD and GBP/USD Forecast June 30 ... Get an insight on the likely band for USD- INR rate this week. BookMyForex covers all the important factors that are going to impact the currency rate and exchange rate today/live for USD-INR. Get ... USD INR Forecast: As the day of results for the Assembly Elections 2019 approaches us, the tango in the forex rates in the Fx Market is evidently visible. The curiosity build up of the Fx market ... Bullish Market The idea is to go long following the major trend, but wait the end of the price retracement before going long.

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